CME ScoreBoard Header

CME Scoreboard

CME Scoreboard: Prediction Detail

Prediction for CME (2016-04-10T11:00:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2016-04-10T11:00Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/10471/-1
CME Note: CME associated with large filament eruption situated close to N18E29 starting around 10UTC.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2016-04-14T06:50Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 5.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2016-04-13T12:44Z
Prediction Method: SPM
Prediction Method Note:

SPM Model Input Parameters:
Date-time:   2016-04-10 11:00:00
Initial Shock Speed:  638 km/s
Background Solar Wind Speed: 380 km/s
Duration Time: 1.0 hour (default)

Output Results:The shock will arrive at the Earth at 2016-04-13 12:44:20
The transit time predicted is 73.74 hours!

Lead Time: 34.28 hour(s)
Difference: 18.10 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Xinhua Zhao (NSSC CAS) on 2016-04-12T20:33Z

CME Scoreboard Footer

CCMC Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting forecasters/researchers.

If you are looking for the official U.S. Government forecast for space weather, please go to NOAA's Space Weather Prediction Center (https://swpc.noaa.gov). This "Experimental Research Information" consists of preliminary NASA research products and should be interpreted and used accordingly.

Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy